Marcel van Oijen is an independent scientist and BioSS Associate, based in Edinburgh. His main expertise is environmental and ecological modelling supported by Bayesian statistics. Marcel studied mathematical biology at the University of Utrecht, graduating cum laude in 1985. He completed his PhD in plant disease epidemiology at Wageningen University in 1991, where he then worked on modelling the impacts of environmental change on crops. In 1999, he moved to Edinburgh to work for NERC on the modelling of ecosystem services provided by grasslands, forests and agroforestry systems. In 2020, he started working as an independent scientist and published a book that explains the simplicity underlying the variety of Bayesian methods used in science. He followed this up in 2022 by a second book, with Mark Brewer, that presents new theory for risk analysis.

• Van Oijen (2020), Bayesian Compendium
• Van Oijen & Brewer (2022), Probabilistic Risk Analysis and Bayesian Decision Theory

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